Proof needs to be much more concrete than instances. In fact, there is some interesting research in the psychology of judgments demonstrating that we often use the ease with which instances come to mind as a basis for judgments. So, for example, if we are asked for three instances when we behaved assertively (which is pretty easy to do), we rate ourselves as more assertive. However, if we are asked to come up with 12 examples of assertive behavior (which is pretty difficult to do), we rate ourselves as less assertive even though we came up with more instances of a particular behavior (almost as though we were saying to ourselves 'Man, that was hard - if it was that difficult, I guess I'm not a very assertive person). Its often referred to as the availability heuristic i.e., we often seem to make judgments based on the ease with which information comes to mind i.e., is available.
I think thats exactly what's happenning here. Coming up with a few examples of famous photographers who died of Parkinsons (or come to think of it cancer, leukemia or some ghastly thing or the other) is pretty easy to do, from which one makes a judgment that there is a causal link between being a photographer and disease X.
Duane raises another excellent point - what is referred to as a treatment effect. So, it is not sufficient to show that the percentage of photographers who suffer from Parkinsons is statistically greater than the average percentage in the population (although even that bit of evidence doesn't seem to be forthcoming). One needs to be able to control for the fact that they live longer to begin with and are therefore, more susceptible to the diseases that afflict the elderly. More convincing, of course, would be some triangulating evidence from pathology etc.
Again, this is not meant to be a suggestion to drink pyro or make selenium bongs. There is no doubt that we do use some chemicals that are hazardous and should be treated with appropriate caution (a caution that doesn't seem to be exercise with other household products like bleach, pesticides etc but thats another story).
OK, I'll shut up now.... Cheers, DJ.
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