Business cycles are just that - cycles. Folks may attempt to attribute causal factors aligned with their ontology, but they are going to occur in spite of attempts to prevent them or mitigate their severity. Everyone who had been paying attention knew what was coming last year and took steps to mitigate their risk. Once this down cycle is complete (it's not) something else will come along which won't be planned for, be it a black swan or another series of bad business decisions.
How many folks do risk analysis on a regular basis? If you are in business and are not doing regular qualitative risk analysis then you can't have a firm grasp of the potential risk that your business is exposed to.
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